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kuurtali/README.md

Mehmet Ali KURT

Typing SVG

LinkedIn Email ORCID


πŸ§‘β€πŸ’Ό About Me

πŸŽ“ Graduating in Actuarial Sciences β€” Hacettepe University
πŸ“‹ Passed Level 2 Actuarial Exam β€” Turkish Actuarial Society
πŸ’Ό Assistant Actuary β€” Hands-on experience in insurance portfolio analytics & pricing
πŸ”¬ TÜBΔ°TAK 2209-A Research Grantee β€” Funded undergraduate research in quantitative finance

I combine actuarial rigor with modern data science to build reproducible, end-to-end analytical pipelines β€” from risk modeling and predictive analytics to interactive decision-support dashboards.

Currently seeking opportunities in actuarial consulting, insurance analytics, and quantitative risk management.


πŸ› οΈ Technical Toolkit

Languages & Querying
R Python SQL SAS

Machine Learning & AI
TensorFlow Keras KNIME
Supervised & Unsupervised Learning Β· Deep Learning (LSTM Β· GRU Β· CNN Β· Transformer) Β· Time Series Forecasting Β· Classification & Regression

Actuarial & Statistical Modeling
GLM (Poisson Β· Gamma Β· Logistic) Β· Life & Non-Life Insurance Modeling Β· Loss Reserving Β· Survival Analysis Β· Frequency-Severity Models Β· Risk Classification

Visualization & Reporting
Power BI R Shiny MS Office


πŸ“‚ Featured Projects

Project Domain Highlights
πŸ”¬ MC-AWARE Deep Learning Β· Finance TÜBΔ°TAK 2209-A grant Β· 26 experiments Β· 6 DL architectures Β· 378+ configs Β· Discovered anti-predictive behavior in BIST (p β‰ˆ 10⁻¹⁴)
πŸ“ˆ Direction Forecasting Academic Research ARIMA vs LSTM vs 1D-CNN on BIST & pension funds β€” majority class illusion in Turkish markets
πŸš— ADAS Pricing Paradox Actuarial Pricing 100K synthetic policies Β· Poisson + Gamma GLM Β· Proves ADAS safety β‰  lower premiums
πŸš— ADAS Vol.2 Advanced Actuarial 200K policies Β· Gini Index Β· Lift Charts Β· Interaction terms Β· Power BI dashboard
πŸ“Š Risk Scoring Dashboard Interactive Analytics R Shiny + Logistic GLM Β· AUC 0.828 Β· Real-time claim probability scoring

πŸ† Key Achievements

πŸ”¬ Anti-Predictive Discovery β€” Proved that 118/120 deep learning configurations systematically predict the opposite market direction on BIST, driven by macro-variable concept drift (USDTRY, Oil, TCMB rate shifts).

πŸ“Š End-to-End Actuarial Pipeline β€” Designed a full pricing workflow: synthetic data generation β†’ feature engineering (SQL) β†’ GLM modeling (R) β†’ interactive Power BI dashboards β€” uncovering the ADAS Pricing Paradox in Turkish auto insurance.

🎯 Real-Time Decision Support β€” Built an interactive Shiny risk scoring platform achieving AUC 0.828, bridging actuarial modeling with operational decision-making.

πŸ“ 738+ Trained Models β€” Across all projects: 513 pension fund models + 225 BIST models, each with multi-seed cross-validation for full reproducibility.


πŸ“Š GitHub Activity

GitHub Streak

Repos per Language Most Commit Language

github contribution grid snake animation

kuurtali


🌱 Currently Exploring

🧠 AI & Advanced Analytics β€” Explainable AI (XAI) for insurance decisions Β· NLP for claims processing Β· Gradient Boosting (XGBoost, LightGBM) for risk scoring
πŸ“Š Actuarial Innovation β€” Telematics-based pricing Β· Climate risk modeling Β· Stochastic reserving Β· IFRS 17 reporting automation
πŸ”§ Data Engineering β€” ETL pipeline design Β· Cloud-based actuarial workflows Β· Automated reporting systems
πŸ“ˆ Quantitative Finance β€” Portfolio optimization Β· Credit risk modeling Β· Algorithmic trading strategies
πŸŽ“ Professional Growth β€” Advanced actuarial exams Β· SOA/IFoA pathway exploration Β· Kaggle competitions


"It is better to be on hand with ten men than absent with ten thousand."
β€” Timur (Tamerlane)


Open to actuarial analyst, insurance analytics, and quantitative risk roles β€” let's connect!

Popular repositories Loading

  1. direction-forecasting-bist-bes direction-forecasting-bist-bes Public

    Academic paper β”‚ ARIMA vs LSTM vs 1D-CNN on BIST & pension funds β€” majority class illusion in Turkish markets

    Python 1

  2. actuarial-analysis-w-shiny-and-glm actuarial-analysis-w-shiny-and-glm Public

    Interactive risk scoring β”‚ R Shiny + Logistic GLM dashboard with AUC 0.828 β€” live claim probability

    R

  3. ADAS-Pricing-Paradox ADAS-Pricing-Paradox Public

    Actuarial pricing β”‚ 100K policies prove ADAS safety β‰  lower premiums (Poisson + Gamma GLM)

    R

  4. VOL2-ADAS-Pricing-Paradox VOL2-ADAS-Pricing-Paradox Public

    ADAS Pricing Vol.2 β”‚ 200K policies, Gini Index, Lift Charts, interaction terms β€” advanced actuarial analysis

    R

  5. kuurtali kuurtali Public

    My GitHub profile β€” Actuarial Sciences & Deep Learning Research Portfolio

    Python

  6. project-ascend project-ascend Public

    Kalistenik ilerleme sistemi - 196 hareketlik dogrulanmis beceri grafi

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